Author: tfwee

 

Gearing – November 2008

New Data (Major Shareholders) for the Month

  • 28-Nov-08 : MP REIT – Morgan Stanley from 13.847% to 12.929% (27-Nov-08)
  • 27-Nov-08 : Cambridge – Schroder from 5.983% to 6.054% (25-Nov-08)
  • 26-Nov-08 : LMIR – Penta from 11.94% to 12.01% (24-Nov-08)
  • 25-Nov-08 : MI-REIT – Indus from 5.01% to 4.81% (19-Nov-08)
  • 24-Nov-08 : Cambridge – Schroder from 6.177% to 5.983% (20-Nov-08)
  • 24-Nov-08 : Cambridge – Capital Group from 6.8167% to 5.9153% (19-Nov-08)
  • 21-Nov-08 : Cambridge – UBS from 5.00% to 4.94% (19-Nov-08)
  • 17-Nov-08 : MP REIT – YTL from 25.87% to 26.03% (14-Nov-08)
  • 17-Nov-08 : Fortune – Capital Group from 5.8965% to 4.9944% (14-Nov-08)
  • 10-Nov-08 : Fortune – Capital Group from 6.4408% to 5.8965% (7-Nov-08)
  • 10-Nov-08 : MI-REIT – Lion Global from 7.30% to 6.98% (7-Nov-08)
  • 8-Nov-08 : Cambridge – Hunter Hall Inv from 4.93% to 5.20% (24-Oct-08)
  • 7-Nov-08 : MapleTree – BOA from 6.72% to 7.05% (7-Nov-08)
  • 3-Nov-08 : Suntec – Perennial from 5.99% to 6.27% (30-Oct-08)
  • 3-Nov-08 : MP REIT – Morgan Stanley from 14.308% to 13.847% (30-Oct-08)

    REIT

    Assets

    Debts

    Gearing

    Shares

    Major Shareholders

    A-REIT

    S$4572M

    S$1866M

    41.4%

    1,329,618,440

    Ascendas 26.77% ; Capital Grp 5.82%

    AscottREIT

    S$1707M

    S$567M

    34.9%

    608,411,063

    Temasek 47.17%

    Cambridge

    S$983M

    S$369M

    37.6%

    796,405,934

    Yap Chin Kon – 6.341% ; CWT 8.746% ; Capital Grp 5.9153% ; Schroder 6.054% ; Hunter Hall Inv 5.20%

    CapitaRChina

    S$1227M

    S$344M

    31.0%

    619,045,885

    Capitaland 40.04% (CMT 20%) ; Capital Grp 12.9051% ; Stichting 7.75%

    CCT

    S$7013M

    S$2544M

    36.3%

    1,393,357,852

    Temasek 31.97% ; Stitching 10.67% ; Cohen 5.036%

    CDL HTrust

    S$1637M

    S$297M

    19.3%

    828,108,487

    Hong Leong 39.60% ; Istithmar Hotels 9.7%

    CMT

    S$7378M

    S$2500M

    43.3%

    1,666,310,130

    Temasek 29.65% ; NTUC 6.84% ; Capital Group 7.0226%

    First REIT

    S$341M

    S$50.8M

    15.6%

    273,671,344

    Lippo 20.3% ; RZB 9.2% ; CIM 5.9%

    Fortune

    HK$9968M

    HK$2342M

    23.6%

    817,743,259

    Cheung Kong 32.35% ; Stitching 14.9% ; Temasek 6.93% ; Schroder 6.002%

    FrasersCT

    S$1127M

    S$317.5M

    28.1%

    621,376,519

    F&N 51% ; Stitching 6.04% ; AIA 6.0126%

    FrasersComm

    S$1858M

    S$903M

    44.4%

    725,279,945

    F&N 19.5% ; Capital Grp 10.117% ; Farallon 9.86%

    K-REIT

    S$2069M

    S$577M

    27.6%

    649,452,305

    Temasek 75.16%

    LMIR

    S$1322M

    S$125M

    9.5%

    1,065,959,234

    Lippo 27.1% ; MapleTree 12.0% ; Penta Investments 12.01% ; CPI-Capital 8.5% ; ABN AMRO 6.51%

    MacCookIReit

    S$568M

    S$222M

    39.6%

    261,339,834

    MacCook 15.21% ; UBS 9.51% ; Lion 6.98% ; USS 8.95%

    MapleTree

    S$2797M

    S$1023M

    36.9%

    1,939,315,301

    Temasek 47.45% ; Capital Grp 7.14% ; BOA 7.05% ; Alliance Global Prop 5.01%

    MP REIT

    S$2293M

    S$663M

    28.9%

    957,083,544

    YTL 26.03% ; Morgan Stanley 12.929% ; AIA 11.11%

    PLife

    S$1035M

    S$203M

    19.6%

    602,347,000

    Newbridge 44.9% (Parkway + TPG Capital) ; Sunil 6.03%

    Saizen

    JPY57,459M

    JPY24,787M

    36.5%

    450,817,000

    Central Top 7.776% ; JHYP 23.511% ; JHYP II 5.735% ; JPMorgan 8.00%

    Suntec

    S$5833M

    S$1860M

    31.9%

    1,709,199,474

    Perennial 6.27% ; Shaw 5.81% ; Cheng YT 5.81%

    Notes :

    • MapleTree : Not Adjusted for 3-for-4 Rights @ $0.73. New Shares Expected to be Issue on 22-Aug-08 and Starts Trading on 25-Aug-08 ; Proforma Figures – Debts $1062M / Gearing 36.8%
    • This table will be updated only as and when new data are available
    • The Major Shareholders data may not be uptodate. Pls chk SGX Annc to verify

    Performance – November 2008

    STI -50.25% : 1732.57 (Nov08) vs 3482.30 (2007)

    Rank – Capital Gains

    REIT

    Nov-08

    Dec-07

    Gain

    PLife

    S$0.83

    S$1.13

    -26.5%

    A-REIT

    S$1.48

    S$2.46

    -39.8%

    First REIT

    S$0.40

    S$0.77

    -48.1%

    CMT

    S$1.70

    S$3.46

    -50.9%

    MP REIT

    S$0.49

    S$1.10

    -55.5%

    LMIR

    S$0.28

    S$0.665

    -57.9%

    FrasersCT

    S$0.60

    S$1.46

    -58.9%

    Suntec

    S$0.62

    S$1.71

    -63.7%

    AscottREIT

    S$0.525

    S$1.45

    -63.8%

    Fortune

    HK$1.74

    HK$5.21

    -66.6%

    MapleTree

    S$0.335

    S$1.09

    -69.3%

    CCT

    S$0.705

    S$2.44

    -71.1%

    Cambridge

    S$0.205

    S$0.71

    -71.1%

    K-REIT

    S$0.60

    S$2.13

    -71.8%

    CDL HTrust

    S$0.61

    S$2.35

    -74.0%

    FrasersComm

    S$0.215

    S$0.895

    -76.0%

    MI-REIT

    S$0.26

    S$1.10

    -76.4%

    CapitaRChina

    S$0.475

    S$2.15

    -77.9%

    Saizen

    S$0.155

    S$0.89

    -82.6%

    NOTES :

    • Not Adjusted for Rights or New Issues Which May Be at a Discount
    • Nov-08 : End Nov-08 Mkt Price
    • Dec-07 : End Dec-07 Mkt Price
    • Gain : Capital Gains = (Nov-08 Mkt Price – Dec-07 Mkt Price) / (Dec-07 Mkt Price)

    November 2008

    Result Announcement

    • 3 Nov 08 – FrasersComm (Tables Updated)
    • 4 Nov 08 – PLife (Tables Updated)
    • 4 Nov 08 – Fortune (Tables Updated)
    • 7 Nov 08 (Noon) – MI-REIT (Tables Updated)
    • 11 Nov 08 (Noon) – HWT (Table Updated)
    • 11 Nov 08 – Cityspring (Table Updated)
    • 13 Nov 08 – Saizen (Tables No Updates)
    • 14 Nov 08 – Indiabulls (Table Updated on NAV)

    Average Yield = 18.992%

    REIT

    Period

    DPU ct

    Price

    Yield

    NAV

    Assets Type

    MI-REIT

    Q2 : Sep-08

    2.35

    S$0.26

    36.154%

    S$1.30

    Industrial

    Saizen

    FY08 – IPO

    5.30

    S$0.155

    34.194%

    S$1.05

    Residential (Japan)

    Cambridge

    Q3 : Sep-08

    1.49

    S$0.205

    28.917%

    S$0.76

    Industrial

    LMIR

    Q3 : Sep-08

    1.6

    S$0.28

    22.679%

    S$0.9598

    Malls – Indonesia

    FrasersComm

    Q3 : Sep-08

    1.11

    S$0.215

    20.558%

    S$1.20

    Malls + Office (S’pore and Aust)

    AscottREIT

    Q3 : Sep-08

    2.61

    S$0.525

    19.886%

    S$1.58

    Serviced Apts (Regional)

    Fortune

    Q3 : Sep-08

    8.65

    HK$1.74

    19.885%

    HK$8.90

    Malls (HK)

    CDL HTrust

    Q3 : Sep-08

    2.93

    S$0.61

    19.115%

    S$1.56

    Hotels

    First REIT

    Q3 : Sep-08

    1.92

    S$0.40

    19.000%

    S$0.9214

    Hospitals + Hotel (Indonesia)

    Suntec

    Q4: Sep-08

    2.854

    S$0.62

    18.311%

    S$2.232

    Malls + Office

    CCT

    Q3 : Sep-08

    3.10

    S$0.705

    17.489%

    S$3.11

    Office

    CapitaRChina

    Q3 : Sep-08

    2.01

    S$0.475

    16.863%

    S$1.16

    Malls (China)

    MapleTree

    Q3 : Sep-08

    1.84

    S$0.335

    16.616%

    S$0.84

    Industrial

    K-REIT

    Q3 : Sep-08

    2.34

    S$0.60

    15.467%

    S$2.19

    Office

    MP REIT

    Q3 : Sep-08

    1.78

    S$0.49

    14.449%

    S$1.59

    Malls + Office

    FrasersCT

    Q4 : Sep-08

    2.05

    S$0.60

    13.667%

    S$1.24

    Malls

    A-REIT

    Q2 : Sep-08

    4.01

    S$1.48

    10.838%

    S$1.81

    Industrial

    CMT

    Q3 : Sep-08

    3.64

    S$1.70

    8.518%

    S$2.39

    Malls + Office

    PLife

    Q3 : Sep-08

    1.71

    S$0.83

    8.253%

    S$1.34

    Hospitals

    NOTES :

    • Mkt Price is as on 28-Nov-08
    • Fortune : DPU Not Paid as Semi-Annual Payout Policy
    • PLife : Annualised DPU = 6.85ct
    • FrasersComm : Annualised DPU = 4.42ct ; DPU Not Paid as Semi-Annual Payout Policy
    • Suntec : Annualised DPU = 11.353ct
    • Cambridge : Annualised DPU = 5.928ct
    • CDL HTrust : Annualised DPU = 11.66ct ; DPU Not Paid as Semi-Annual Payout Policy
    • MP REIT : Annualised DPU = 7.08ct
    • CRCT : Annualised DPU 8.01ct ; DPU Not Paid as Semi-Annual Payout Policy
    • LMIR : Annualised DPU = 6.35ct
    • FrasersCT : DPU = 1.59ct + 0.46ct (Income retained from previous quarters)
    • CCT : Annualised DPU = 12.33ct ; DPU Not Paid as Semi-Annual Payout Policy
    • AscottREIT : DPU Not Paid as Semi-Annual Payout Policy
    • MapleTree : Uses MLT-A DPU 0.61ct (Issued on 22-Aug-08) to Compute Annualised Yield in Above Table
    • First REIT : Annualised DPU = 7.60ct
    • CMT : Annualised DPU = 14.48ct
    • KREIT : Annualised DPU = 9.28ct ; DPU Not Paid as Semi-Annual Payout Policy
    • Saizen : Actual Payout 4.67ct as per IPO Forecast ; Yield is Computed Using IPO Prospectus Figures of 5.3% @ $1 Which Excludes Bonus Div
    • KREIT : FY08 DPU Forecast 7.53ct (8-for-5 Rights @ $1.39)
    • LMIR : IPO Forecast – FY07 (Dec07) : 2.74ct (Annualised for 1-Jul-07 to 31-Dec-07) ; FY08 : 5.84ct ; FY09 : 6.27ct
    • Saizen : IPO Forecast – FY09 (Jun09) : 5.65ct ; FY08 (Jun08) : 4.67ct (Incl. Bonus Div) / Annualised Yield 5.3% @ $1 (Excl. Bonus Div) / 6.51% (Incl Bonus Div)
    • PLife : IPO Forecast – 2H07 : 3.3ct ; FY08 : 6.25ct ; FY09 : 6.39ct

    Shipping Trusts (non-REITs)

    Trust

    Period

    DPU ct

    Price

    Yield

    NAV

    Assets Type

    PacShipTr US$

    Q3 : Sep-08

    1.0953

    US$0.195

    22.468%

    $0.40

    Shipping Trust

    FSL Trust

    Q3 : Sep-08

    3.05

    S$0.45

    40.862%

    $0.77

    Shipping Trust

    Rickmers

    Q3 : Sep-08

    2.25

    S$0.41

    33.085%

    $0.96

    Shipping Trust

    NOTES :

    • All in US$ except for Rickmers and FSL Mkt Price (Yield Computed Using Latest Exchange Rate S$1.5072:US$1 fm Yahoo Finance)
    • FSL : Annualised DPU 12.2ct
    • FSL : SGX Annc (12-May-08) Quarterly DPU Forecast – Q208 US2.77ct ; Q308 US3.05ct
    • Rickmers : SGX Annc (5-May-08) Quarterly DPU Forecast (Pg 7) – US 2.25ct (Q308)

    Other Trusts (non-REITs)

    Trust

    Period

    DPU ct

    Price

    Yield

    NAV

    Assets Type

    CitySpring

    Q2 : Sep-08

    1.75

    $0.495

    14.141%

    $0.52

    Infrastructure – Water, Gas

    AscendasIndT

    1H : Sep-08

    3.47

    $0.435

    15.954%

    $0.99

    India – Industrial Park

    HWT

    Q3 : Sep-08

    1.3

    $0.305

    17.049%

    $0.78

    China – Water Plant

    Indiabulls

    FY09 – IPO

    5.12

    $0.17

    30.118%

    $1.185

    India – Office

    NOTES :

    • HWT : DPU = 0.91ct if No Sponsor waiver ; DPU Not Paid Out as Semi-Annual Payout Policy
    • Indiabulls : Listing on 11-Jun-08 2PM
    • Indiabulls : IPO Forecast – 5.12ct (FY09) 1,325.4Mil Units (2,371.7Mil Units Issued) Entitled to Div ; 9.82ct (FY10)
    • HWT : IPO Forecast – 2.09ct (1H08) ; 4.88ct (FY08) / SGX Annc – Pg 12 (Distribution Statement)
    • HWT : Listing on 3-Dec-07 2PM
    • HWT : IPO Forecast – 4.46ct (FY08) – Sponsor (25% s/h) undertaken to waive entitlement to distributions, else DPU 3.34ct (Yield 4.282% @ $0.78) ; 5.06ct (FY09) – Yield 6.744% @ $0.78

    Phillips – 14 Nov 2008

    Click on Table below for a bigger view


    Link – Summary on Debt Analysis

    CIMB – 7 Nov 2008

    Click on the table below for a bigger view,

    LinkSummary